Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
CCDF payment per child, FY2026
What will the average monthly CCDF subsidy payment per child served be in fiscal year 2026 according to ACF child care data?
current forecast · 80% CI$690/mo
$610/mo$690/mo$800/mo
history:FY2020: $520/moFY2021: $560/moFY2022: $610/moFY2023: $650/moFY2024e: $670/mo
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- hhs.acf.ccdf.average_monthly_payment_per_child.fy2026
Key drivers
- Provider reimbursement rates
- State copayment policy
- Age mix of children served
- Child care price growth
Resolution
- source
- HHS Administration for Children and Families, CCDF administrative data
- expected
- December 31, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to average monthly CCDF subsidy payments per child served in fiscal year 2026, computed from ACF CCDF administrative data as total subsidy payments divided by average monthly children served and months. If ACF publishes the metric directly, the direct metric governs.
- Data point
- hhs.acf.ccdf.average_monthly_payment_per_child.fy2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
illustrative traceThis trace was authored from source context when the cell was created; the tool calls shown were not executed. Runs from June 28, 2026 onward replay archived activity from the public records.
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▸ illustrative step: acf.lookupauthored, not executed
▸ illustrative step: policyengine.simulateauthored, not executed
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.